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UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia predictions

Women’s bantamweight champion Ronda Rousey (11-0-0) says her title defence Saturday night against #5-ranked Bethe Correia (9-0-0) is personal.

Ever since Correia mocked her family in an interview, she’s more determined than ever to embarrass her in her home country of Brazil.

Meanwhile, the spunky and confident Correia is eager to shock the world with a nation in her corner.

Before we go any further, a quick shoutout to WWE Hall of Famer wrestler “Rowdy” Roddy Piper, who died today at the age of 61.

 

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After The Crossfire: UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia for post-fight thoughts.

MMA Crossfire Expert Cassie Wiseman checks in with her thoughts on the card.

UFC FIGHT PASS PRELIMS (7PM ET/4PM PT)

HUGO “WOLVERINE” VIANA (8-3-0) VS GUIDO “NINJA” CANNETTI (6-3-0)

Wiseman: Viana has great kicks, but that’s the end of the story. He hasn’t yet expanded upon his skills, which has made him very two- dimensional. Cannetti has power and a ground game. He can throw more combinations and is more unpredictable. I don’t see how Viana wins this fight.

Wiseman Prediction: Guido “Ninja” Cannetti via submission.

VITOR “LEX LUTHOR” MIRANDA (11-4-0) VS CLINT “HEADBUSSA” HESTER (11-4-0)

Wiseman:  Power and nothing but from these two. Swinging with bad intentions from every swing, but who can outlast the other considering conserving energy isn’t something they do well. Hester is a boxer, so he doesn’t throw many kicks and when he does there isn’t much behind them. Miranda mixes things up better and has a ground game. Hester can do nothing off his back, so this should be easy for Miranda when he scores the takedown.

Wiseman Prediction: Vitor “Lex Luthor” Miranda via submission.

TSN 2 PRELIMS (8PM ET/5PM PT)

#13 LURI “MARAJO” ALCANTARA (31-6-0, 1NC) VS LEANDRO “BRODINHO” ISSA (13-4-0)

Wiseman: I really don’t see how Issa can get this win. I mean, Alcantara is a savage. Sure, Issa is a 3rd degree Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu (BJJ), but Alcantara is no fool on the mat. The experience, power, movement, and comfort inside the octagon will have Issa out of his element against such a veteran. Alcantara will be going for the finish using his striking and kicks to demolish Issa, while Issa will look to close the gap for a submission game.

Wiseman Prediction: Luri “Marajo” Alcantara via TKO.

WARLLEY ALVES (9-0-0) VS NORDINE TALEB (10-2-0)

Wiseman: While Taleb has more high level experience, we have yet to see his BJJ brown belt in action. Alves will  use this to his advantage. That would be the smart game plan, to take Taleb’s power away from him. Taleb has been a finisher or straight to decision with no submission in his fighting history at all, so smart considering Alves’ ground game. Especially with Alves coming off his  TUF Brazil win, all hyped up and ready to go.

Wiseman Prediction: Warrley Alves via submission.

#10 RAFAEL “FEIJAO” CAVALCANTE (12-5-0, 1NC) VS #14 PATRICK “DURKIN” CUMMINS (7-2-0)

Wiseman: Cavalcante has solid power, but Cummins has the kryponite for that: Wrestling. Cavalcante needs distance to throw a punch, or at least clinch, but with a guy laying on top of you. Yeah, no punching power from there. At least it’s drastically lower. Cummins, like him or not, has great wrestling and is able to take anyone down. He will no doubt rush in to get this to the mat as quick as possible before Cavalcante gets a power shot going. Cummins will then be able to use his ground-and-pound, lay on Cavalcante to drain his energy, and try to get a stoppage or decision win.

Wiseman Prediction: Patrick “Durkin” Cummins via unanimous decision.

#6 DEMIAN MAIA (20-6-0) VS #13 NEIL MAGNY (15-4-0)

Wiseman: This fight can go a couple of ways because it depends on who sticks to the game plan. Magny needs to keep his distance and force Maia to use his striking. Magny will have the reach advantage and using his leg kicks, he could really out point Maia for the win. Maia, he will no doubt strike to close the distance, drag things to the mat, and grind out a decision. Maia has been stuck #6 for a while, not able to get a pattern going long enough to move up the ladder, but this is big competition for Magny. He can’t close the gap because that is Maia’s world. Now, what do I see happening, I’m going to go with Magny doing damage outside of Maia’s reach. This is an important win for Magny, so sticking to the game plan is more important than ever.

Wiseman Prediction: Neil Magny via unanimous decision.

MAIN CARD (10PM ET/7PM PT)

#1 CLAUDIA GADELHA (12-1-0) VS #15 JESSICA AGUILAR (19-4-0)

Wiseman: Claudia Nogueira…I mean Gadelha has the advantage in this matchup because of her clinch game. Aguilar has fantastic striking, but Gadelha has more power and strikes to close the gap. Aguilar strikes and moves forward, but wants to keep distance in the picture. I see Gadelha throwing bombs while Aguilar counters. Gadelha will eat a few just to close the distance and do damage in the clinch. This will go the distance, but Gadelha will be welcoming Aguilar to the UFC in fashion.

Wiseman Prediction: Claudia Gadelha via unanimous decision.

#12 ANTONIO “BIGFOOT” SILVA (18-7-0, 1NC) VS SOA “THE HULK” PALELEI (22-4-0)

Wiseman: Sure, the obvious is that Palelei hasn’t fought opponents at the level of Silva, but Silva has been knocked out so many times that I bet he needs to look at his own stats to remember who he has fought. Silva is coming off 4 losses, 3 of which he was knocked out. He has been knocked out 6 times total in his career. Not dazed, I mean seeing fairies type of knocked out. Palelei has crazy power, is the fresher fighter, and will certainly be able to hit Silva’s chin for a 7th KO. Then someone needs to invite Silva to Brendan Schaub’s podcast for Joe Rogan to tell him that he needs to hang up his gloves. There needs to be an intervention here to stop Silva from further damage.

Wiseman Prediction: Soa Palelei via TKO.

#15 STEFAN “SKYSCRAPER” STRUVE (29-7-0) VS MINOTAURO NOGUEIRA (34-9-1, 1NC)

Wiseman: Nogueira is 12 years the elder of Struve, yet Struve has 36 pro fights under his belt. That’s just a crazy fact I wanted to throw in there, but it’s important. These guys have taken their fair share of beatings inside the octagon, so they are both going around with a plastic chin at this point. The biggest difference in this match is going to be the reach advantage that Struve will be able to use to test Nogueira’s chin first. Struve also has great kicks and nasty knees inside the clinch. With the age, wear-and-tear on the body, and youthful power coming against you from a foot away, Struve is going to be able to get back on the winning side of things.

Wiseman Prediction: Stefan “Skyscraper” Struve via TKO.

REGINALDO VIEIRA (13-3-0) VS DILENO LOPES (19-1-0)

Wiseman: While they can both take any limb off if they get a hold of something, it’s Vieira that has more aggression. From the second the bell rings, Vieira is ready to go to war. Lopes is more of a slow starter, counterstriking at first as he sizes up his opponent, then goes crazy for the submission. I don’t see him having that much time against Vieira. It’s going to be quite the show on the mat, but with the speed of Vieira straight out of the gate, Lopes will find himself on the defense really quickly and in trouble. 

Wiseman Prediction: Reginaldo Vieira via submission.

GLAICO “NEGO” FRANCA (13-3-0) VS FERNANDO “ACOUGUEIRO” BRUNO (16-2-0)

Wiseman: This is going to be a chest match on the mat as both of these guys like to go for the takedown immediately in a fight. Franca does have more power and tends to posture up more for ground-and-pound than Bruno does, but ultimately it is going to come down to who is able to score the takedown first. There will be transitions on the mat, but realistically due to power advantage and capability to finish, I’m going with Franca.

Wiseman Prediction: Glaico “Nego” Franca via TKO.

#8 MAURICIO “SHOGUN” RUA VS #11 ANTONIO RODRIGO NOGUEIRA (21-6-0)

Wiseman: These guys have been in the business since PRIDE days, so needless to say, they’ve received some poundings. Nogueira has great hands and is one of the most dangerous on the mat, but his chin is really weak at this point. Well, they both have weak chins at this point in the game, but Rua has more KO power still as a fighter. He is also coming off two losses, so that extra pressure will push him to get things together to bring back the Rua of old. Nogueira at 39 has done it all, has been in there with everyone, but while they both need to retire at this point, Rua has the advantage with power.

Wiseman Prediction: Mauricio “Shogun” Rua via TKO.

MAIN EVENT

(C) “ROWDY” RONDA ROUSEY (11-0-0) VS #5 BETHE “PITBULL” CORREIA (9-0-0)

Wiseman: Let’s be honest:  While they are both undefeated there is a huge difference between the two. Rousey has yet to go the distance because she destroys everyone. Her opponents don’t stand a chance. The negative to that is the question of could Rousey go the distance if things turned into a slug fest? With Correia, the majority of her wins have come via decision and the level of competition hasn’t been equal to that of Rousey. We know that Correia has cardio, but then again, she was against a lower level of competitor so they wouldn’t push as much as Rousey, nor force her to think of so many different elements. Correia is a beast, there is no doubting that, but she just isn’t ready for Rousey. She needs more exposure. Throw her in against Carmouche or someone in the top 5. Just such a big jump for someone who hasn’t tasted even close to the level of competitor that Rousey represents.

Wiseman Prediction: “Rowdy” Ronda Rousey via submission.

@nationcrossfire

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