UFC 230

UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis predictions

D.C. looking to make history with successful defence

New York City is the place this weekend for UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis and despite a few fighters missing weight, light heavyweight and heavyweight champion Daniel Cormier (21-1-0, 1NC) and challenger Derrick Lewis (21-5-0, 1NC) are ready to go.

Join us at the UFC 230 live blog!

Kenai Andrews checks in with his thoughts on the card.

UFC FIGHT PASS PRELIMS (6:15PM ET/3:15PM PT)

ADAM WIECZOREK (10-1-0) VS. MARCOS ROGERIO DE LIMA (15-6-1)

UFC 230

Andrews: Rogerio de Lima has the power advantage despite being the smaller fighter, but I like the octagon smarts of Wieczorek. If he can avoid the big shot, he will take the fight to the ground and get the tap.

Andrews Prediction: Adam Wieczorek via submission

BRIAN KELLEHER (19-9-0) VS. MONTEL JACKSON (6-1-0)

UFC 230

Andrews: Kelleher has faced tougher competition and although he is the smaller fighter, he will grind out the decision.

Andrews Prediction: Brian Kelleher via UD

SHANE BURGOS (10-1-0) VS. KURT HOLOBAUGH (17-5-0, 1NC)

UFC 230

Andrews:  Both guys need a win and don’t mind taking the fight to the ground to get it. I’m going with Burgos to survive some early troubles to eke out the decision.

UFC 230

MATT FREVOLA (6-0-0) VS. LANDO VANETTA (9-3-1)

Andrews: Can the dynamic Vanetta keep the fight standing tp use those flashy strikes? Frevola will try to ground him, but Vanetta needs a win badly and should have the determination to get it.

Andrews Prediction: Lando Vanetta via UD

TSN 3 PRELIMS (8PM ET/5PM PT)

LYMAN GOOD (19-4-0, 1NC) VS. BEN SAUNDERS (22-10-2)

UFC 230

Andrews: I expect Good to use his youth and quickness to outstrike Saunders. Saunders will use his experience to get the fight to the ground and work a submission. Good looked good at the weigh-ins and that convinced me that he will get it.

Andrews Prediction: Lyman Good via TKO

JULIO ARCE (15-2-0) VS. SHEYMON MORAES (10-1-0)

UFC 230

Andrews: I liked the confidence of Moraes at the weigh-ins, but Arce will grind this one out.

Andrews Prediction: Julio Arce via UD

#4 SIJARA EUBANKS (4-2-0) VS. #7 ROXANNE MODAFFERI (22-15-0)

UFC 230

Andrews: Eubanks missed weight again! This cost her the title shot in the first place and now she is fighting her TUF replacement. nonetheless, her wrestling will nullify the striking of Modaferri.

Andrews Prediction: Sijara Eubanks via UD

JASON KNIGHT (20-5-0) VS. JORDAN RINALDI (13-6-0)

UFC 230

Andrews: Knight needs a win badly and you can’t blame him for an emotional weigh-in. Rinaldi looked cool and calm and if he can weather the early storm, I think he capitalizes on Knight’s separation and gets the win.

Andrews Prediction: Jordan Rinaldi via UD

MAIN CARD (10PM ET/7PM PT)

#6 DEREK BRUNSON (18-6-0) VS. #9 ISRAEL ADESANYA (14-0-0)

UFC 230

Andrews: Brunson is a quality veteran who has power and wrestling to back it up. He just needs to temper his aggressiveness, which will be hard against a guy who has pushed his buttons in Adesanya. This is Adesanya’s toughest opponent yet, but he gets it done yet again.

Andrews Prediction: Israel Adesanya via UD

KARL ROBERSON (6-1-0) VS. JACK MARSHMAN (22-7-0)

Andrews: Tough one to call. Marshman has the experience factor, and Roberson is the fresh DWCS alum. I like Roberson to score the upset here.

Andrews Prediction: Karl Roberson via TKO

#7 DAVID BRANCH (21-4-0) VS. JARED CANNONIER (10-4-0)

UFC 230

 

 

Andrews: Cannonier has lost three of his last four and needs a win, but Branch is a tough opponent who has lost only to the top of the division. Branch should be able to get the decision, even with a determined Cannonier.

Andrews Prediction: David Branch via UD

#3 CHRIS WEIDMAN (14-3-0) VS. #5 RONALDO SOUZA (25-6-0, 1NC)

UFC 230

Andrews: Weidman’s wrestling should nullify Souza’s BJJ and take the starch out “Jacare.” Weidman ‘s striking is better too. All he has to do is avoid the ground and the big strike, easy to say, but harder to do. But factor his motivation for regaining the belt, and being the hometown hero, and it should add up to a big win for the All-American.

Andrews Prediction: Chris Weidman via UD

MAIN EVENT

DANIEL CORMIER (21-1-0, 1NC) VS. #2 DERRICK LEWIS (21-5-0, 1NC) 

UFC 230

Andrews: The miracle run of Lewis will come to an end here. What Cormier lacks in size, he makes up in ferocity, smarts and skills. Lewis needs another home run, but he will strike out and for five rounds, he will tire too.

Andrews Prediction: Daniel Cormier via TKO

@kenaiandrews

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Kenai is a former Postmedia Network news and sports editor. He is the Editor-in-Chief for MMA Crossfire.

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