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The ultimate Tyson Fury vs. Deontay Wilder 3 betting preview

MyBookie oddsmaker David Strauss weighs in

Tonight, Deontay Wilder and Tyson Fury throw down for the third time.

Editor’s Note: Odds are accurate at time of posting and are subject to change. Visit MyBookie for latest information.

Fury started out as a -190 favorite. Heading into the weekend, the WBC Champion is a -270 chalk. Will Fury prove once and for all that he’s the best heavyweight on the planet? Or will Deontay pull off the massive upset victory?

  • When: Tonight
  • Where: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV
  • Boxing Odds: Wilder +210 / Fury -270
  • Over/Under Odds: O 7 ½ (-125) / U 7 ½ (+105)

Undercard

Jared Anderson -1200 vs. Vladimir Tereshkin +600

Fury vs. Wilder 3
Courtesy Top Rank.

Jared Anderson (9-0-0, 9 KOs) moves very well for a heavyweight. But he’s got a lot to learn before he can take on the best in the heavyweight division.

Vladimir Tereshkin (20-0-1, 12 KOs) is undefeated, but the reason Anderson is such a big favorite is because Tereshkin hasn’t fought since 2016. Also, Anderson sparred with Tyson Fury to help the champ get ready for his bout with Wilder.

Anderson wins for sure. The question is in what round?

Boxing Pick: Jared AndersonBet the Fight Now

Fury vs. Wilder3
Courtesy TopRank.

Efe Ajagba +130 vs. Frank Sanchez -160

Frank Sanchez (18-0-0, 13 KOs) won 13 of his bouts via knockout or TKO. Ajagba (15-0-0, 12 KOs) has 12 knockout wins, which is why the odds say this is the closest fight on the Wilder-Fury card.

But although Ajagba has power, he’s not as gifted of a boxer as Sanchez. The Cuban heavyweight uses his punches to set up other punches like the very best pros. Ajagba spends most of his time trying to land punches. Sanchez should counter at will.

Boxing Pick: Frank SanchezBet the Fight Now

Fury vs. Wilder 3

Adam Kownacki -300 vs. Robert Helenius +240

Robert Helenius (30-3-0, 19 KOs) and Adam Kownacki (20-1-0, 15 KOs) threw down in March 2020. Helenius was also an underdog in that fight. All he did was knock out Kownacki in the fourth round.

We’d love to back Helenius in the rematch. But Kownacki showed up overweight in the first fight. Based on his training videos leading up to this bout, the chalk has lost the pounds and looks ready to rumble. Adam Kownacki gets his revenge.

Boxing Pick: Adam Kownacki | Bet the Fight Now

Main Event – Tyson Fury vs. Deontay Wilder

Why Bet on Deontay Wilder at +210?

Deontay Wilder

Deontay (42-1-1, 41 KOs) knows exactly what he did wrong in the second fight. The former champion fought moving backward, didn’t use his jab, and entered the ring exhausted after wearing a 40-pound . . . we’re not sure what it was.

If Wilder sticks to his jab, moves, and doesn’t fall for Tyson’s goading, he should perform well. Not only that, but Deontay is desperate and desperation can lead to a great performance.

Why Bet on Tyson Fury at -270?

Tyson Fury

The money is going Tyson’s (30-0-1, 21 KOs) way. Often in boxing, when one fighter gets all the monetary attention, it’s a good sign that boxer is going to win. Boxing handicappers don’t often make mistakes.

Not only that, but Fury moves better than Wilder and mustn’t change his style to win this fight. Tyson can be Tyson while Deontay must switch things up to have any shot of winning.

Final Betting Analysis: Fury vs. Wilder III

Tyson Fury
Credit: Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports

Although Wilder offers decent odds, he doesn’t have much chance against Tyson Fury. The problem for Deontay is that before Fury, he dominated his previous opponents.

That made Wilder believe his style would win out no matter what. Deontay has never been a fundamentally sound boxer. Eventually, a boxer’s physical abilities aren’t enough to win matches.

The greats, like Floyd Mayweather, Julio Cesar Chavez, Thomas Hearns, etc., go back to fundamental boxing in order to win fights after they lose some of their physical advantages. Wilder doesn’t have a strong enough fundamental base to do that, which means Tyson Fury, like in the first fight, wins this via knockout.

Fury vs. Wilder III Pick: Tyson Fury via 7th round KO or TKOBet the Fight Now

Enjoy the fights.

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